Stephen Nover
I have had only two losing season in pro football in my handicapping career. I have the best sources in the business thanks to more than 25 years as a sportswriter, handicapper and analyst.
PREMIUM PICK STREAKS
Basketball Picks (+16105) 2372-2007 L4379 54%
NBA Picks (+12698) 1498-1246 L2744 55%
Top All Sports Sides (+5177) 1371-1199 L2570 53%
Football Totals (+4562) 173-116 L289 60%
NCAA-B Picks (+3589) 874-760 L1634 53%
Top MLB Money Lines (+2835) 78-46 L124 63%
NCAA-F Totals (+2798) 81-48 L129 63%
NHL Money Lines (+2467) 234-209 L443 53%
NFL Totals (+2039) 87-61 L148 59%
CFL Picks (+1536) 100-75 L175 57%
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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
PICKS IN PROGRESS
The Diamondbacks have scored a meager one run in each of their last three games. Now they are facing the pitcher who I believe is the most underrated in baseball - Logan Gilbert. He has a 1.87 ERA and 0.80 WHIP. I don't see Arizona doing much against Gilbert especially on the road in Seattle's tough pitching park.
The Mariners have scored four or fewer runs in four of their last five games. They rank 24th in runs and 25th in batting average. So Arizona starter Brandon Pfaadt should prove serviceable here.
Note, too, that Bill Miller is slated to be the home plate umpire. He's always been good to pitchers.
But I want the better defensive team, which are the Clippers, and this many points in what shapes up as an intense, defensive-focused matchup. The first three games of the series all went Under. Now we have the lowest total of the four games. LA has held Dallas to an average of 98 points during the first three games.
Down 2-1 in the series, the Clippers will be at their most intense. It's not that they're lacking star power with James Harden, Paul George and a combative Russell Westbrook. The problem for the Clippers is cold-shooting. They are 18-for-54 from 3-point range, which is 25 percent. The Clippers made 38 percent of their 3-pointers during the regular season.
The Mavericks' defense is below average, ranking 20th in points allowed and 18th in 3-point defense. The Clippers have a top-10 defense.
I'm not counting on him being out, but Luka Doncic is questionable because of a sore knee. It would be an unexpected bonus if he didn't play. Tim Hardaway is doubtful with an ankle sprain. He's the Mavericks' third-leading scorer.
SERVICE BIO
Sports gaming writer for Las Vegas Review-Journal 1984-1997. Professional handicapper since 1999. Author of three books - Las Vegas Sportsbeat, Sportsgaming Beat, Winning Fantasy Football. Taught sports betting at UNLV. Former co-host of the Sunday Night Stardust Line sports gaming radio show. Was part-time oddsmaker and analyst for Roxy Roxborough. Recognized NFL expert with 21 of 23 winning seasons.